Update 2018 March 15 12:06AM
Researching some of the latest forecasts, came up with this article on Bloomberg news – https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-03-14/northeastern-u-s-may-start-spring-with-yet-another-snowstorm
I am Ahgamen-Keyboa, researcher, naturalist, painter, author, historian, sometime psychic. The weather has been extreme in the Northeast U.S.A. of the past two months, from January to the present March 7, 2018 (publishing this 12:30am March 9). This region also includes the parts of Canada adjacent, their southeastern sector, as weather movements know no nationality barriers!
If we were to compare this winter to other winters of the past few decades, it could be deemed as average and the standard. It’s going to be cold, that’s going to freeze the ground, it’s going to freeze the precipitation, there’s going to be snowfall periodically. This region is known to be cold and wet in winter, as opposed to being dry and arid.
There was one highlight of unusual occurrence from February 20-22, 2018. The temperatures went way up and way down. It brought warmth to the region more typical of June weather, practically summer-like! This was not merely in the Northeast region of the U.S.; it began in the Rocky Mountains region, especially in Colorado. These record highs were surprising for millions of people, to say the least! It will be remembered for a long time.
Then there has recently been these back to back winter storms! Two noreasters in a row. We are just now in the midst of the second one and clean-up is not finished. In fact, as I am now able to share this, there was no electricity or internet to post my article on March 8. when I wanted to. Power outages were widespread throughout the region.
Aside from the relatively normal and average year with the odd exceptions, I’ve been taking a careful look at my charts and permutations. Basically, I have been crunching some of the pertinent facts and trying to make interpretations. I noticed something and I’m going out on a limb to state that I discovered a pattern. It is such that I can extrapolate this and make a prediction. If I am right, then I will be able to continue with the methodology. If I am wrong, then I will go back to the drawing board and try again.
It seems to me that there is a high probability of another major winter storm. Let me describe the scenario: It is possible that around March 16th to the 17th (2018) there will be another unseasonably warm event. This means that it could approach record high temperatures in the Northeast and possibly extend into southern areas of the East Coast, as well as northwards into Canada.
What will follow possibly is another weather maker. It could move into the region late on March 17th. It should be a lot of precipitation and possibly some windy turbulence. If the temperature is able to drop enough from the previous days, then it will bring quite a bit of snow.
Basically, the storm will carry through March 18th and into part of the 19th. It would be considered a very late winter weather event, considering that the Spring Equinox is only days away, the official start of Spring season. This is unusual for the region. I am predicting this more than 10 days in advance. We’re going to find out. It’s kind of exciting!
Can hardly wait for the pleasant days of Summer. When all the trees and plants will be in bloom and fruits will be ready for harvest!
Rising mortgage rates hit new home sales hard, an ominous sign for builders
- Homebuyers increasingly can’t afford what they want.
- Higher mortgage rates, combined with the loss of homeowner tax breaks in some of the nation’s most expensive markets, are taking away buying power.
Poochie is a famous pug puppy living in the Big Apple.
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Ahgamen Keyboa reports:
Hurricane Irma now confirmed a looming threat! Weather prediction is a realm of uncertainty, so as we finish up Labor Day recreation and get ready for school, we may be wondering if Hurricane Harvey was enough. Apparently not, in the current upturn of tropical cyclone activity, this busy year. After more than a decade of relative silence, we are waking up to Mother Nature’s wrathful side.
We’ve enjoyed a calm for a long time, other than a few catastrophic hits, notably Hurricane Sandy in late October 2012. Many in the Northeast will remember it vividly. In the aftermath, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration issued its assessment report, stating that, “Sandy was a complex storm, resulting in 72 direct deaths across eight states and at least 75 indirect deaths, damages in excess of $50 billion, storm surge in excess of eight feet and up to three feet of snow in some places. At close to 1,000 miles in diameter, it was among the largest storms ever to strike the United States. The storm caused impacts in 24 states”.
Recently, we have watched in horror at the destructive power of Hurricane Harvey. We have seen the graphic images and imagine what it’s like to lose everything as the victims did. “This will be a devastating disaster, probably the worst disaster the state’s seen,” William “Brock” Long, administrator of the Federal Emergency Management Agency, told The Washington Post on Sunday. “The recovery to this event is going to last many years to be able to help Texas and the people impacted by this event achieve a new normal.”
Last week, it was the Gulf Coast, primarlily in Texas and Louisiana, feeling the vengeance of a major storm landfall via Harvey. Next week, it may be the East Coast, from Florida northwards. If the storm continues to strengthen, it will also endanger the MidAtlantic and the NorthEast. This scenario is probable for the period of mid-September.
Florida governor Rick Scott is not taking any chances. He tweeted 2:57 PM – 4 Sep 2017, “I have declared a state of emergency for every FL county to help state, federal and local governments work together as we prepare for #Irma.”
I have declared a state of emergency for every FL county to help state, federal and local governments work together as we prepare for #Irma.
— Rick Scott (@FLGovScott) September 4, 2017
It is better to be safe than sorry, therefore the authorities in Florida are avoiding a panic. What about Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina? There is also a possible threat to Virgina and if the track would follow up the Chesapeake Bay, then the nation’s Capitol is in for disaster.
According to existing models of prediction, Hurricane Irma will continue to track on a westwards course. It gains strength over the warmer waters and does not have any detriment from wind shearing; it already has successfully passed by the ridging air systems of the middle of the Atlantic Ocean. The scenario is that Irma will begin to turn northwards and may or may not skirt the coast.
If the Hurricane makes landfall early, it will be in Florida. It may cross the peninsula and jump into the Gulf coast. It may or may not gain strength again.
If it does not plow into land, it could hug the coast, at which point it retains its strength, saving it for the Carolinas or more northerly regions.
Let’s talk about the scenario of Washington, D.C. taking a direct hit. It will be the opposite of the political slogan, “Drain the swamp”; we are talking about flooding the swamp. Low-lying areas of D.C. would be inundated. The Potomac river system would be flooded. The Federal government would be shut down and all agencies would be evacuated. Washington would appear as Houston does today.
Hurricane watch warnings have now been issued for islands in the Carribean, from Puerto Rico, Hispaniola,Cuba, the Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos, Leeward Islands, and to the U.S. and British Virgin Islands. Many who have made late summer plans to vacation in paradise are now having to change their itinerary, if they are wise. Nobody wants to be stuck out on an island during one of these huge storms, if they don’t have to be.
As we approach the weekend of September 8, we are going to find out what happens in the islands off the coast of the U.S.A. After that, in the week of Sept.11-15, the East Coast may or may not have to deal with a major hurricane landfall.
Disaster Relief Houston, local musician is offered help from Vanessa Carlton
Calculations of the disaster in Houston due to Hurricane Harvey are overwhelming. Something to the tune of $160 billion, reported by the N.Y. Daily News, making it the “costliest natural disaster in U.S. history”. This estimated financial amount is nothing compared to the incalculable human loss of life, along with the emotional suffering. For those of us not in the Gulf region of Texas, or not having been through major catastrophes, we try to imagine what it must be like to endure this and to try to recover from such an experience.
To put it into perspective, with a window into the reality, one example of so many is the story of Aric Harding, who has been resident there with his family. He posted a video (on his Instagram account), which went viral due to the way it touches a nerve in viewers. The video depicts Mr. Harding softly playing his Yamaha piano, while halfway submerged in the floodwaters that have swelled into his home. He had managed to return to the house in order to retrieve some favorite stuffed animals for his children. It’s a wonder that the piano could still play – very surreal! Along with this potent and touching imagery, he lamented “I think it’s finally sinking in a little. What we used to have going as a city is gone. I really think God is going to do something new here”.
Vanessa Carlton had been promoting relief activities for the flood-ravaged region when she came across the Harding video (apparently through a cnn report). Obviously, moved by the eerie scene, as a piano player herself, she took to her twitter and facebook. She shared, “we need to get him a piano”. The Telegraph wrote up a brief article today that “Vanessa Carlton offers to buy new piano for Houston flood family”.
In case you didn’t know, Vanessa Carlton is in a current music tour opening for Stevie Nicks. Carlton’s most recent album release is Liberman. You may remember her going all the way back to her debut album in 2002, Be Not Nobody. The Billboard topping hit from that debut was “A Thousand Miles”.
Is it any surprise that people are reaching out to help those who are suffering? I think that this story symbolizes that human connection. Whatever it is that makes you relate to it, you can do something compassionate. I think that’s what inspired Vanessa Carlton to get involved. She was moved to emotional empathy by seeing the horrific affects of the disaster, as we all should be, if we are feeling in our hearts. For her, especially in the case of the beloved piano and a fellow musician, she could totally relate.